带投资及税收的风险模型的破产概率

针对带税收的风险模型,引入投资收益量,研究此模型的破产概率及Gerber-Shiu折罚函数,并得出带投资及税收的风险模型与带投资无税收的风险模型的破产概率之间的关系式及其Gerber-Shiu折罚函数所满足的微分-积分方程.     

含氢废气处理系统运行缺陷及风险分析

秦山二厂含氢废气处理系统采用加压贮存法,加压贮存法结构简单,废气处理工艺比较成熟。废气处理系统没有直接的安全功能,但能防止向环境泄露,保护环境,使废气的放射性排放保持在可接受的范围。本文主要介绍秦山二厂含氢废气处理系统的工艺流程,相关运行参数,核心设备的工作原理;分析了系统运行中存在的风险,如：衰变箱的容量不足、倒箱操作时易导致压缩机损坏甚至放射性气体意外排放等,通过分析缺陷原因提出了相应的解决办法。     

Development of emergency water quality standard for Cr6+ and Hg2+ in Liao River basin

The acute toxicity data of Cr＋ and Hg2＋ to the aquatic organisms in Liao River basin was collected and screened. Calculated results of criteria values using popular species sensitivity distribution （SSD） methods were evaluated through data analysis. The comprehensive methodology of emergency water quality standards （EWQSs） was established on the basis of the SSD method of Australia and New Zealand according to the evalu- ation results. The affected fractions of the aquatic organisms were set to be 5 %, 15 %, 30 % and 50 %, corre- sponding to the risk grades of Ⅰ,Ⅱ,Ⅲ and IV, and four-grade EWQSs, respectively. The EWQSs for Cr6＋ and Hg2. in the Liao River were derived and the corresponding risk indicators were also proposed. The results showed that the four-grade EWQSs for Cr6＋ were 2.85 μg/L, 21.0 μg/L, 161 μg/L and 797 μ/L, respec- tively, and the risk indicators were daphnia （grade Ⅱ ）, shrimp （grade Ⅲ）, and the bighead fish or tadpole （grade IV）. The four-grade EWQSs for Hg2＋ were 0.59 μg/L, 2.32 μg/L, 6.25 μg/L and 15.6 μg/L, respective- ly, and the risk indicators were crucian carp or daphnia （grade Ⅱ）, shrimp （grade Ⅲ）, and worm or crab （grade IV）. The results provided valuable information for the risk analysis of sudden ambient water environmen- tal pollution accident.     

广西造纸行业环境风险防范对策探索

造纸业是我国国民经济中重要的基础原材料产业,在不断扩大经营规模过程中造成了日益严重的环境风险,从而阻碍了产业自身的健康发展,增加了环境的严重负担。文章以广西纸浆造纸业为案例,深入分析当前造纸业的环境风险源现状、结构类别、产生环节及其防控技术和科学对策,研究可为广西造纸业环境风险防控管理工作提供参考依据。     

普通高校体育与健康教育实践效果分析

为了贯彻“健康第一”的体育工作指导思想,提高体育与健康教育实践效果,以辽宁科技大学2010级本科生为实验对象进行体育与健康教育改革实践.实践研究表明：体育与健康教育相结合符合大学生心理发展规律;实验班学生比对照班学生的身体素质明显增强,身体形态更具美感;实验班学生心理健康状况与普通青年常模比较大幅度提升.     

Reliability Study on the Risk Precontrol Management System of Coal Mines Safety

Risk precontrol management system of coal mines safety（ RPMSCS） provides a set of preventive safety management strategy for high-risk coal industries, which has captured extensive attentions. Fundamentally,there are several membership systems with subsystems in the management system, and the subsystem reliability has an important influence on the management system performance. Through analyzing the structure characteristics of the management system,the phase type distribution was employed to analyze its subsystem reliability by considering repair process and three states including working,fail-abnormal,and fail-emergency states. The reliability indices of the subsystem were derived respectively,including the probabilities that the subsystem in three states,mean time to the first failure, mean time to first failemergency,mean working time to first fail-emergency,and mean maintenance time to the first fail-emergency, are derived respectively. The probabilities of the membership systems and the management system in three states were also derived. Some numerical examples were used to show the procedures. The result is important for better understanding the management system operation and improving its operational performance from the respect of system reliability.     

尾矿库溃坝事故风险因素分析

针对尾矿库溃坝事故,选用国内外历史尾矿库溃坝事故数据,利用非线性回归分析方法,通过建立一系列的关系函数,对影响尾矿库溃坝后果的主要因素进行分析,确定了尾矿库溃坝事故的风险因素为尾矿库的坝高和容积.在尾矿库的建设、运行过程中,要重点加强对尾矿库的坝高和容积的限制,减少尾矿库潜在溃坝风险.     

承包商实现创收的可行性分析

在竞争激烈的建筑市场中,承包商需要建立创收体系,保障合法权益,提高利润水平.本文从创收支柱理论和二次经营的研究入手,界定了承包商创收的内容,通过对创收体系建立的基础和理论依据进行研究,探讨了不平衡报价和工程变更、工程价款调整、工程索赔相配合的创收体系的建立.     

加拿大内部责任体系:运行机制·理论基础·经验借鉴

加拿大内部责任体系运行机制研究目的在于探索未来我国职业安全健康管理改进的方向、方式、方法。研究运用文献综述和对比分析方法,对加拿大企业内部责任体系的组织架构、运行机制、内在逻辑及理论基础进行剖析,并就加拿大内部责任体系对我国完善职业安全健康管理体系的借鉴意义进行分析。研究表明,在政策、企业和员工组成的三方机制下,内部责任体系注重企业和员工的主观能动性的发挥,注重事故源头预防,注重尽职尽责原则下的持续改进。加拿大内部责任体系对我国职业安全健康管理工作借鉴意义在于,推进企业自主管理深入发展,并在此过程中从立法、简政放权、高效执法、落实企业主体责任、规范企业职业安全健康管理方案等方面持续改进。     

考虑汇率风险的可违约债券定价模型

分析了具有汇率风险的可违约债券的定价问题.分别探讨了债券面值以国内货币计价发行、以国外货币计价发行和汇率设置下限时的3种情形下可违约债券的定价问题,并分别在3种情形下建立了信用风险模型,得到了债券的价格公式,债券的违约概率公式和信用价差的表达式.最后通过数值模拟,分析了债券违约概率和信用价差的期限结构,并分析了资产波动率和汇率波动率对信用价差和违约概率的影响.